A great deal has happened in the last week and a half, and the implications from these actions will be felt for a very long time. Many pundits and analysts have been discussing the effects upon US and Russian relations. But, there are many more issues that will fall out from these events.
The first is our own US Presidential Election. Up until now, most of the debate has been with domestic issues such as the economy and petroleum usage and alternate energy development. On the foreign affairs side, it has concentrated predominately on Iraq, Afghanistan, and the Global War on Terror. We now have another area that will factor into this decision and that is who does the American People feel will best handle this developing problem. This issue is not showing any signs of going away, and I fear these developments are only the tip of the iceberg. The next four years will be where much of this issue will play out, and America will have to add this dynamic to their voting criteria.
Secondly Georgia will need economic, humanitarian, and military aid for many years to come. The correct path of support may be initiated now, but again it will be executed for many years to come. This is not an issue that will go away quickly or be solved quickly. The election will also effect this immediately, so again, it becomes an issue of who do the American People feel will best handle this challenge.
Third the issue of the missile defense system will not be going away either. This is a development that is going to take until 2012 to be fully in place within Poland and the Czech Republic. The Russian Federation's objections are not going to go away either. Their fears that this program can be used to box them in, while unfounded, will effect relations for years to come. The comments by their General yesterday also deeply disturbed me in his overt threat to Poland. The implications for the US, NATO, and the EU, will effect how we go forward for many years.
Fourth, the issue of bringing in additional countries to NATO, namely the Ukraine, and Georgia. Russia has had serious heartburn with both of these. Their are some analysts who believe that the entire Georgia issue was engineered by Russia to effect this. Im not sure if I believe this, but it is possible. Whether it is possible or not though, it demonstrates the level of anger the Russian's have over the possible acceptance of these countries into NATO. This will be an issue NATO will have to deal with in the next few months, and I hope that they stay the course and accept their petitions for membership, and issue the plans for them to go forward.
With all of this being said, the current cease fire deal that was signed by both countries, goes a great distance in laying the ground conditions for success in Georgia. The problem now becomes the UN must in place a neutral peace keeping force to enforce this cease fire and a zone of separation while a lasting solution is found. The problem becomes how much vetoing will take place in the security council. We have already seen the rhetoric on both sides of the Atlantic towards one another. How much of this will effect the UN placing an International Peace Keeping Force in Georgia? I don't know, but I hope for everyones sake it will not.
More to Follow:
God Bless America
Sphere: Related Content
Obama on National Defense
35 minutes ago